文章编号： 1672-5328（2015）06-0046-07

蒋寅，万涛，曹伯虎
(天津市交通规划研究中心，天津300201)

摘要： 利用出租汽车浮动车大数据研究科学合理且直观易懂的交通指数并动态跟踪城市道路交通运 行规律，不仅是中国大城市关注的焦点，更是在天津市机动车限购、限行政策下非常重要的城市交 通基础性研究。通过出租汽车车速精度分析、期望车速选取、指数标准化等关键技术研究，提出天 津市可应用于宏观交通政策评估和交通规划研究的交通指数。同时，应用交通指数分析双限政策实 施前后两年城市交通的运行特征，分别从年、月、日、小时及区域五个方面评估双限政策的实施效 果。结果表明，天津市适度超前的机动车限制政策对缓解交通拥堵的效果显著并得到广泛支持。

关键词： 交通政策；交通指数；交通运行状态；浮动车数据；机动车限购；机动车限行；天津市

中图分类号： U491.1+2

文献标识码：A

Traffic Index of Tianjin and Its Application in Evaluation of Vehicle Purchase Rationing Policy and Vehicle Usage Restriction Policy

Jiang Yin,Wan Tao, Cao Bohu
(Tianjin Transportation Planning Research Center, Tianjin 300201, China)

Abstract： Using Taxi equipped GPS data to develop a scientifically rational and understandable traffic index system for urban road network and dynamically tracking urban traffic pattern is regarded as the focus of Chinese metropolises as well as serving to evaluate vehicle purchase rationing and vehicle usage restriction Policies in Tianjin. Based on analysis on speed detection accuracy, selection of expected speed, standardization on congested index, this paper proposes a traffic index system which is able to evaluate transportation policy and planning tasks, Furthermore, the proposed system has been successfully applied in the assessment of vehicle purchase rationing and vehicle usage restriction Policies of Tianjin via a detailed temporal and spatial before- after study. The main findings reveal that two policies adopted by Tianjin have been significantly improving road traffic condition and receiving extensive supports.

Keywords： transportation policy; traffic index; traffic operational status; floating car data; vehicle purchase rationing; vehicle usage restriction; Tianjin