文章编号：1672-5328（2012）03-0074-07

刘于璟，陈大伟
（东南大学交通学院，江苏 南京 210096）

摘要：为了衡量建筑物配建停车场停车需求与供给之间的不确定性，引入停车时间可靠度的概念。配建停车场停车时间可靠度的影响因素主要包括建筑类型、区位因素及停车场规模。通过对影响因素的分析认为，停车排队时间、停车搜索时间和用户忍受时间是计算停车时间可靠度的决定性指标，据此建构停车时间可靠度模型。其中，停车排队时间按照非满位排队时间和满位排队时间进行讨论；停车搜索时间是在已有文献基础上进行的细化；用户忍受时间通过排队等待率来反映，通过模糊数学理论进行计算。最后，利用该模型对某市区综合商业大楼配建停车场的停车时间可靠度进行计算，并评估了停车场当前状态下被用户接受的概率。

关键词：配建停车；停车时间可靠度；排队等待率；模糊理论

中图分类号：U491.7

文献标识码：A

Research on Parking Time Reliability of Building Accessorial Parking Lot

Liu Yujing, Chen Dawei
(Southeast University Transportation College, Nanjing Jiangsu 210096, China)

Abstract：In order to measure the uncertainty between the demand and supply of accessorial parking lots (parking facility for occupants of the building), the concept of parking time reliability is introduced in this paper. Building type, location and size of parking lots are three main factors affecting the reliability. Queueing time, searching time and users’endurable time are used as the key variables used in reliability modeling. Among them, queuing time is divided into two queueing times for parking facility available and unavailable , respectively; searching time is detailed on the basis of available literature review; and users’endurable time reflects the queue-waiting rate, which is calculated with the theory of fuzzy theory. Finally, the parking time reliability of a city’s commercial building parking lots is calculated based on the model and the users’acceptance probability is measured.

Keywords：accessorial parking lot; parking time reliability; queue-waiting rate; fuzzy theory