文章编号： 1672-5328（2020）03-0046-05

吴金龙，丁小兵，刘志钢
(上海工程技术大学城市轨道交通学院，上海201620)

摘要： 新型冠状病毒肺炎的爆发给城市轨道交通系统带来巨大挑战。部分城市采取线路停运、进出 站控制、运行图调整等措施应对客流量急剧下降和防疫疏散需求。随着社会秩序逐渐恢复、复工复 产复学带来客流量增长，城市轨道交通系统面临不断变化的出行需求和长期持续的防疫需求。分析 疫情对上海市轨道交通客流量的影响以及面临的巨大考验。针对不同时期的出行需求，就如何进一 步做好疫情防控提出应对之策：1)进一步落实疫情防控措施；2)强化客流预警和客运组织管理； 3)动态分析、科学配置运力；4)细化车站和车厢内满载率管控。基于城市轨道交通运营韧性恢复， 有效的疫情防控之策对交通运输行业治理体系和治理能力现代化的推进具有重要意义。

关键词： 轨道交通；现代化治理；新冠肺炎；超大城市；防疫策略；上海市

中图分类号： U491.1+7

文献标识码：A

Epidemic Prevention Strategy of Shanghai Rail Transit System: Taking the COVID-19 Pandemic as an Example

Wu Jinlong, Ding Xiaobing, Liu Zhigang
(School of Urban Rail Transportation, Shanghai University of Engineering Science, Shanghai 201620, China)

Abstract： The outbreak of Coronavirus Disease 2019 poses a great challenge to urban rail transit system. Several cities take measures such as line outage, in and out station control, operation diagram adjustment to cope with the sharp drop of passenger flow and epidemic prevention and evacuation demand. With the gradual restoration of social order and the increase of the traffic volume brought by the resumption of work and school, urban rail transit system is faced with the changing travel demand and long-term and sustained epidemic prevention demand. This paper analyzes the impact of the epidemic on passenger flow of Shanghai rail transit and the huge challenge it faces. According to travel demand in different periods, the paper provides suggestions on epidemic prevention and control in several aspects: further implementing epidemic prevention and control measures, strengthening passenger flow early warning and passenger management, dynamic analysis and scientific allocation of transportation capacity, refining the management and control of full load rate at stations and carriages. Aiming at recovery of urban rail transit operation resilience, effective measures for epidemic prevention and control are of great significance to the modernization of the governance system and management capacity of transportation industry.

Keywords： rail transit; modern governance; COVID-19; megacities; coping strategies; Shanghai