文章编号： 1672-5328（2020）04-0001-10

汪光焘1，王继峰2，赵珺玲2
(1. 同济大学，上海201804；2.中国城市规划设计研究院，北京100037)

摘要： 准确把握城镇化和信息化对城市交通需求的影响并分析其演变趋势是推动城市交通高质量发 展的前提。分析在城镇化进程中人的生活质量提升、城市空间高效组织和社会结构变化带来的交通 需求新特征。论述信息化对城市的机动性、交通基础设施利用和城市交通治理等方面的预期影响。 最后，展望未来城市交通发展的愿景，提出按需服务、融合发展、交通公平、规则重构4 个主要场 景，并指出唯有变革和创新才能适应新时代发展要求。

关键词： 城市交通；信息化；城镇化；交通需求；发展愿景

中图分类号： U491

文献标识码：A

Evolution of Urban Travel Demand in the New Era

Wang Guangtao1,Wang Jifeng2, Zhao Junling2
(1.Tongji University, Shanghai 201804, China; 2.China Academy of Urban Planning & Design, Beijing 100037, China)

Abstract： It is important to accurately analyze the impacts of urbanization and informatization on urban travel demand and its changing trend, which is the premise for the high-quality development of urban transportation. This paper discusses the new characteristics of travel demand brought by enhanced quality of life, effective urban spatial alignment, and changes in social structure during urbanization. The paper discusses the anticipated impacts of informatization on urban mobility, transportation infrastructure facilities and urban transportation management. Finally, the paper outlines the future urban transportation development characterized by demand-oriented service, integrated development, transportation equity, and new rules and regulations. The paper concludes that only reform and innovation can meet the development requirements in the new era.

Keywords： urban transportation; informatization; urbanization; transportation demand; development vision