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《城市交通》杂志
2021年 第3期
新一轮科技革命对交通发展的影响及应对策略
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文章编号: :1672-5328(2021)03-0010-08

孙超,邵源,韩广广,徐丹
(深圳市城市交通规划设计研究中心股份有限公司,深圳市交通信息与交通工程重点实验室广东深圳518021)

摘要: 以数字技术为主导的新一轮科技革命不断加速交通与产业深度融合,将产生新的基础设施、 新的交通方式、新的治理模式、新的运营组织和新的出行体验,推动未来交通模式深刻变革。在中 国经济新常态和国内国际双循环战略背景下,从社会经济、城市发展、出行服务、物流货运、能源 产业、新兴科技等方面梳理分析当前交通发展面临的形势趋势。通过调研国际顶尖咨询机构和科技 企业,研判关键技术发展现状及演进趋势,重点梳理新技术对交通发展的多元化影响。聚焦交通行 业关键问题,从超前谋划、超前布局的角度,聚焦基础设施、能源结构、装备工具、运营组织、 交通治理、出行服务和产业体系七大重点方向,提出中国未来交通发展的合理化策略措施,以期推 动中国智能交通在未来10~20 年实现跨越式发展。

关键词: 新一轮科技革命;协同发展;新基建;数字治理;完整出行;交通生态圈

中图分类号: U491.1+2

文献标识码:A

Impacts of Emerging Technological Revolution on Transportation Development and Related Strategies

Sun Chao, Shao Yuan, Han Guangguang, Xu Dan
(Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co., Ltd., Shenzhen Key Laboratory for Traffic Information and Traffic Engineering, Shenzhen Guangdong 518021, China)

Abstract: The emerging technological revolution led by digital technology advancement continuously accelerates the deep integration of transportation and industries, which will generate new infrastructure, transportation services, governance models, operation management and travel experiences, and promote future profound change in transportation. Facing China's new economic norms, the domestic and international dual-cycle strategy, this paper discusses the current situation and trends of transportation development in several aspects: economy, urban development, travel services, logistics and freight, energy industry, and emerging technologies. Through surveying the top international consulting institutions and technology companies, the paper analyzes the development status and evolution trends of key technologies, as well as the diversified impact of new technologies on transportation development. Aiming at the rapid development of China's intelligent transportation in the next 10- 20 years, the paper provides suggestions on the future transportation development with advanced planning and arrangement in infrastructure facilities, energy structure, equipment and tools, operation organization, traffic management, travel services, industrial systems, and etc.

Keywords: emerging technological revolution; coordinated development; new infrastructure; digital management; complete travel; transportation ecosystem