SHAO Dan, LI Han

　　Shanghai Urban-Rural Construction and Transport Development Research Institute, Shanghai 200040, China

　　【Abstract】 Urban passenger transportation is an important field of fossil energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions. Scientifically and rationally setting the goal and supporting policies of electrification of energy structure is of great significance for the positive and orderly transition of the passenger transportation system to the carbon neutrality goals. Taking Shanghai urban passenger transportation tools (including public transportation and individ-ual motorized transportation) as the object, based on the multi-dimensional data such as industry statistics and traf-fic activity volume, this paper calculates the carbon reduction benefits of transportation structure optimization and energy structure adjustment which takes the carbon emissions generated from energy consumption in the transpor-tation operation stages (indirect emissions at the power generation is considered for electricity) as the measurement caliber. Taking the realization of carbon peak in the near and medium-term as the constraint, the paper focuses on the target requirements of three scenarios for the penetration rate of passenger car electrification transformation. Finally, the paper emphasizes the structural carbon reduction strategy of giving equal priority to energy structure adjustment and transportation structure optimization in the context of incomplete completion urbanization and mo-torization. At the implementation level, the coordination and connection of industrial, energy, and transportation policies should be strengthened.

　　【Keywords】 urban passenger transportation;carbon reduction; carbon peak; passenger transportation electrification

　　【DOI】 10.13813/j.cn11-5141/u.2021.0041-en