文章编号：1672-5328（2012）04-0049-07

邓兴栋¹，甘勇华1，宋　程²
（1.广州市交通规划研究所，广东 广州 510030； 2.广州至信交通顾问有限公司，广东 广州  510030）

摘要：为促进亚运交通组织方案决策的科学性，对亚运交通仿真系统进行研究。建立了亚运交通仿真集成系统，包括亚运交通模型体系的设计、亚运交通数据采集与基础信息平台的构建、亚运交通仿真子系统平台的构建与集成三个环节。系统仿真结果与亚运期间交通运行状况的对比结果表明，不论是交通政策实施产生的影响，还是亚运专用道系统的使用，亚运会及亚残运会开、闭幕式和重点赛区交通组织方案的实施，最大预测误差均为10%左右，最小预测误差为2.5%。亚运交通仿真集成系统在后亚运时代将继续为广州市交通规划研究提供定量分析工具。

关键词：交通组织；亚运交通；模型体系；信息平台；仿真集成系统

中图分类号：U491.1⁺4

文献标识码：A

Traffic Simulation System for Asian Games

Deng Xingdong¹, Gan Yonghua¹, Song Cheng²
(1.Guangzhou Transport Planning Research Institute, Guangzhou Guangdong 510030, China; 2.Guangzhou Zhixin Transportation Consultant Co. Ltd., Guangzhou Guangdong 510030, China)

Abstract：In order to have an efficient traffic management system for the Asian Games, an integrated traffic simulation program was developed, which includes traffic flow models, traffic data collection and basic information platform, and simulation subsystems. The maximum and minimum differences between the simulation results and the actual traffic data are about 10% and 2.5% respectively, concerning the impact of Asian Games transportation policy, the effect of the special traffic lanes, and the traffic management programs for both opening and closing ceremonies as well as the key zones. The study proves that the integrated simulation system can be served as a quantitative analysis tool for traffic planning in Guangzhou.

Keywords：traffic management; traffic of Asian Games; model system; information platform; simulation of integrated system