文章编号：1672-5328（2008）03-0047-03

马海红 郭继孚 孙壮志
（北京交通发展研究中心，北京100055）

摘要：为了确保北京奥运期间交通运输服务质量，必须在奥运前期对奥运交通工作进行全方位的风险排查及评估，提出规避和应对风险的措施，以降低奥运期间交通风险事件的发生概率。给出了奥运交通风险的定义，明确了奥运交通风险评估对象的具体内容。提出奥运交通风险评估以风险事件识别、风险事件分析、风险等级划分、应对措施制定为主线的工作流程。针对评估对象进行风险事件的详细识别，以道路积水风险事件为例，进行评估实例分析。

关键词：交通管理；交通安全；奥运交通；风险评估；道路积水

中图分类号：U491.3

文献标识码：A

Risk Assessment and Case Study of Olympic Transportation

Ma Haihong, Guo Jifu and Sun Zhuangzhi
(Beijing Transportation Research Center, Beijing 100055, China)

Abstract: To ensure transportation service quality, it is necessary to scrutinize every potential risk to the transportation systems before the opening of Olympic Games, and to find ways to avoid and cope with these risks, so as to lessen the occurring possibilities of transportation breakdowns during the games. Through an analysis of the Olympic transportation characteristics, this paper identifies the risk definition, testing targets and tasks, and presents the working flowchart of risk testing which consists of risk identification, risk events and their impacts, risk levels, development of countermeasures, along with the general guidelines and ideas to carry out each step of the flowchart. The paper illustrates a detailed identification of risk events, and provides a case study in which street flooding is targeted.

Keywords: traffic and transportation management; traffic safety; Olympic Transportation; risk assessment; road water-logging