文章编号：1672-5328（2008）01-0013-06

陆锡明 陈必壮 董志国
（上海市城市综合交通规划研究所，上海 200040）

摘要：介绍了上海综合交通模型体系的总体构想，包括总体目标、基本功能、框架结构、工作机制、公共平台等几个方面，计划分为三期完成。一期研究成果包括：公共交通系统模型研究层面从既有模型的全网层面深化到客运走廊层面，新增公交票价、道路车速等客流影响分析技术；道路交通系统模型研究层面从5个区域网络的宏观层面拓展到19个行政区、县网络的中观层面，校核线从2条扩大到4条，改进了车流分析技术；世博交通系统模型反映世博交通与日常交通流的高强度叠加特性，开发交通流叠加分析、交通供需迭代反馈分析、游客活动链等新技术；虹桥枢纽系统模型针对枢纽内交通系统多、集散客流规模大等特点，采用交通方式功能分析、用地开发交通影响分析等技术，预测枢纽本体及周边影响区域的客流、车流特征。

关键词：交通规划；交通模型；综合交通；模型体系

中图分类号：U491.1⁺4

文献标识码：A

Conception and Outcomes: the Shanghai Comprehensive Transportation Model System

Lu Ximing, Chen Bizhuang and Dong Zhiguo
(Shanghai City Comprehensive Transportation Plan Institute, Shanghai 200040, China)

Abstract: This paper introduces the general conception of the Shanghai Comprehensive Transportation Model System (SCTMS) . The conception was materialized in such aspects as general goals, basic functionalities, structural framework, operational mechanisms, and user interfaces. Researches in support of the model development were carried out in three phases. The results of the first phase of research are discussed here. The Transit Model research work, which used to focus on the whole network, now goes further to touch on transit passenger flow and its influence analysis technology like fare and travel speed. The coverage of Road Transportation System Model research has expanded from the 5 regional network at macro level to 19 administrative division/county network at middle level; The checking line has been increased from 2 to 4. As a result, the technology of traffic flow analysis is significantly improved. The World Expo Transportation System Model reflects the overlapping characters of World Expo traffic flow and routine traffic flow, with the development of traffic volume overlap analysis, feedback analysis of transportation supply and demand overlap, as well as a series of tourist activities. Given the characteristics of multiple travel system and large amount of passenger flow in Transportation Terminal, the Hongqiao Terminal System Model forecasts the characteristics of passenger flow and vehicle flow of the influenced area around the terminal and itself with the help of various technology like travel-mode function analysis and traffic impact analysis for land-use.

Keywords: transportation planning; transportation model; comprehensive transportation; model system