Wang Bo, Zhang Haixia
(Guangzhou Transport Planning Research Institute, Guangzhou Guangdong 510030, China)

Abstract： Transportation is the main source of the growth in carbon emissions. To explore the route to the peak of transportation carbon emissions in Guangzhou, this paper adopts the bottom-up method and develops a transportation carbon emission inventory in Guangzhou, according to the Global Protocol for Community- Scale GHG Emissions. The inertial scenario analysis results show that the transportation carbon emissions will peak after 2020. Through quantitatively assessment of the important short-term urban transportation plan in Guangzhou, the results show that the intervention scenario can reduce carbon emissions by 8.92 million tons compared with the inertial scenario. Finally, the paper proposes three strategies for the low carbon transportation development in Guangzhou during "the 13th Five-Year Plan", including travel mode shift, optimization of freight transportation organization, and promotion of the construction of national multimodal transportation infrastructure.

Keywords： transportation policies; low carbon transportation; emission inventory; Guangzhou City