文章编号：1672-5328（2009）03-0073-07

肖　飞1，张利学1，晏克非2
（1.无锡市城市规划编制研究中心，江苏 无锡 214031；2.同济大学交通运输工程学院，上海 201804）

摘要：常用的停车产生率模型存在局限性，对于混合土地利用模式可能高估停车需求。为解决这一问题，对建筑物停车泊位共享进行研究。以停车泊位共享理论为基础，提出混合土地利用模式下基于泊位共享的停车需求预测模型及方法。将泊位共享理论应用于无锡市某地块，结果表明，按照基于泊位共享的停车需求预测方法计算，高峰停车需求总量减少20%，项目设计的机动车停车泊位可以满足要求。因此，实行泊位共享可以降低建筑物停车配建规模，减少总停车泊位建设成本，节约社会资源。

关键词：交通规划；静态交通；停车泊位共享；混合土地利用模式

中图分类号：U491.7+1

文献标识码：A

Parking Demand Forecasting Based on Parking Space Sharing

XIAO Fei1, ZHANG Li-xue1, YAN Ke-fei2
(1.Wuxi Urban Planning and Research Center, Wuxi Jiangsu 214031, China；2.School of Transportation Engineering, Tongji University, Shanghai 201804, China)

Abstract：Conventional parking demand generation model is limited in that the parking demand is likely overestimated in the case of a mixed land-use. In order to address the issue, this study looks into innovations of parking space sharing at parking lots accommodated for mixed-use buildings. Based on parking sharing theories, this paper presents a parking demand forecasting model and method given mixed land-uses. An application of the parking sharing theory to a land-use project in Wuxi, Jiangsu Province, shows that the total parking demand drops 20% if determined by the parking sharing forecasting model, resulting in a designed number of vehicular parking spaces that meets the need of the project. Therefore, parking sharing could reduce the total parking spaces needed for mixed-use buildings, and leads to a lower construction cost and a higher resource saving.

Keywords：transportation planning; static transportation; parking space sharing; mixed land-use