文章编号： 1672-5328（2025）06-0035-06

王晓伟，叶曾
(北京市工程咨询股份有限公司，北京100124)

摘要： 世界级城市发展历程对中国大城市发展具有重要借鉴意义。在分析纽约、伦敦、巴黎、东京 四大世界级城市的经济、人口、空间和技术发展演变规律的基础上，总结其交通系统的发展特征与 演变规律。基于北京市与四大世界级城市的对比分析，识别了北京市交通发展面临的主要挑战，研 判提出北京市交通发展仍处于四大世界级城市的上一阶段，包括交通格局正转向都市圈与城市群融 合发展、基础设施存量与增量建设并存、发展模式向智能技术驱动过渡、出行需求向高品质与美好 出行转变。最后，聚焦国际交往、区域协同、城市空间、多元融合与体制机制等重点方向，提出北 京市面向2035 年的五大综合交通体系和交通发展策略。

关键词： 世界级城市；交通发展阶段；基础设施；发展模式；出行需求；发展策略；北京市

中图分类号： U491

文献标识码：A

Assessment of Beijing's Transportation Development Stage Based on a Comparison with World- Class Cities

WANG Xiaowei, YE Zeng
(Beijing Municipal Engineering Consulting Co., Ltd., Beijing 100124, China)

Abstract： The development history of world-class cities offers valuable insights for the evolution of China's major cities. By examining the economic, demographic, spatial, and technological development patterns of four world-class cities, including New York, London, Paris, and Tokyo, this paper summarizes the development characteristics and evolutionary patterns of their transportation systems. Through a comparative analysis between Beijing and these four world-class cities, the paper identifies the key challenges that Beijing faces in its transportation development. The assessment suggests that Beijing's transportation development remains at the preceding stage of the four global benchmark cities. This stage is characterized by the transition of transportation system toward integrated development across metropolitan areas and city clusters, the coexistence of stock and incremental infrastructure construction, the shift of development toward an intelligent and technology-driven model, and the travel demand evolvement toward high-quality and enjoyable mobility. Finally, from the perspectives of international connectivity, regional coordination, urban spaces, multimodal integration, and institutional mechanisms, the paper proposes five comprehensive transportation systems and development strategies for Beijing's transportation development toward 2035.

Keywords： world-class cities; transportation development stages; infrastructure; development model; travel demand; development strategies; Beijing